Macrosolutions is a pioneer in the implementation of practices and techniques of risks and uncertainties analysis simulation in projects such as Monte Carlo Simulation, the Decision Tree, Sensitivity Analysis and Event Chain Methodology.

Macrosolutions team is highly skilled in technical concepts as well as at the most important risk simulation software available.

Macrosolutions uses in all works the state of the art of tools and processes for managing risks including the market ultimate mathematical simulators, vanguard data modeling and reliability analysis methods.

Key issues addressed

  1. Insufficient knowledge of the real project uncertainties/operation
  2. Imminent risk perception with no control planning
  3. Lack of confidence in the results of qualitative analysis
  4. Lack of predictability on projects with high financial investment
  5. Low success rate in meeting the deadlines
  6. Late and ineffective decision making

Scope of work

  • Project data modeling
  • Simulation software implementation
  • Data Planning and structuring
  • Scenarios Planning
  • Simulations execution on the defined scenarios
  • Statistical treatment of results
  • Mathematical modeling and estimates of the financial and time reserves
  • Coaching of the Data Update Team

Fact sheet

Estimated duration of the consultancy work [?]
2 months
Work complexity [?]
Medium
Client's team (minimum required) [?]
1 Project/Risks Analyst
Client's team allocation x Macrosolutions team allocation [?]
25% Client's Team
75% Macrosolutions' Team
Project estimated number of visits [?]
3 visits
Maturity Level (minimum required) [?]
Medium to high
Organizational level of coverage [?]
Corporate: ★★
Departmental: ★★
Project: ★★★★★
Language(s) [?]
Portuguese, English, Spanish

More Information

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Standards
Areas
  • Supported standards and methodologies

    Project Management Institute (PMI)
    PMBOK Guide
    PMI Practice Standard for Estimating Yes
    PMI Practice Standard for Earned Value Management
    PMI Practice Standard for Configuration Management
    PMI Practice Standard for Risk Management Yes
    PMI Practice Standard for Work Breakdown Structure
    PMI Practice Standard for Scheduling Yes
    PMI Standard for Portfolio Management
    PMI Standard for Program Management
    PMI Project Manager Development Competency Framework
    Organizational Project Management Maturity Model (OPM3®)
    UK Office of Government Commerce (OGC)
    PRINCE2 (Projects in Controlled Environments)
    MSP (Managing Successful Programmes)
    M_O_R (Management of Risks) Yes
    P3M3 (Portfolio, Programme, and Project Management Maturity Model)
    P3O (Portfolio, Programme and Project Offices)
    MoP (Management of Portfolios)
    MoV (Management of Value)
    Scrum Alliance
    Scrum Methodology
    International Project Management Association (IPMA)
    ICB® IPMA Competence Baseline
  • Areas: approach comprehensiveness

    Area Comprehensiveness Description
    Integration Includes the processes required to ensure that the various elements of the project are properly coordinated.
    Scope Includes the processes required to ensure that the project includes all the work required, and only the work required, to complete the project successfully.
    Time ★★★★★ Includes the processes required to ensure timely completion of the project.
    Cost ★★★★★ Includes the processes required to ensure that the project is completed within the approved budget.
    Quality Includes the processes required to ensure that the project will satisfy the needs for which it was undertaken.
    Human Resource Includes the processes required to make the most effective use of the people involved with the project.
    Communications ★★★★★ Includes the processes required to ensure timely and appropriate generation, collection, dissemination, storage, and ultimate disposition of project information.
    Risk ★★★★★ Systematic process of identifying, analyzing, and responding to project risks. It includes maximizing the probability and consequences of positive events and minimizing the probability and consequences of adverse events to project objectives.
    Procurement Includes the processes required to acquire goods and services from outside the performing organization to attain project scope.
    EHS Involves processes related to work safety, health and environment, including specific regulations.
    Strategic Planning Involves the processes which link projects with corporate strategy through the indicators of the Balanced Scorecard's goals.

Additional Information Top ↑

Nowadays, business and projects management mean to deal with uncertainty and volatility. To increase the chances of success it is essential the organizations to be able to improve their ability to proactively manage the uncertainty, that is, to manage their risks.

"The great benefit of using the Monte Carlo Simulation is to enable the understanding of the uncertainty impact and develop plans to mitigate, avoid or accept the risk.” - Ricardo Vargas

One of the main obstacles to the effective risks management is the difficulty in quantifying the risk estimates which enables the development of appropriate responses to different identified scenarios. To significantly improve the quality of these estimates, the use of sophisticated statistical models, simulation mechanisms and scenario building become obligatory.